Fresh Meat Export Statistics by Country 2026: Trade Data

Global fresh meat trade in 2026 will be defined by tighter exportable supplies from key origins and sustained demand from China, Japan, and the GCC. The top five exporters by value, Brazil, the United States, Australia, the European Union bloc, and India, are projected to lead combined shipments across bovine, swine, ovine, and poultry categories. This article breaks down the Fresh Meat Export Statistics by Country 2026: Trade Data you need to plan procurement, from volume shares and seasonal shipment windows to FOB price benchmarks and the veterinary certificates that clear customs.

You will learn which countries dominate each protein category, how monthly slaughter cycles create buying windows in Brazil, China beef and US, Japan pork, and why destination concentration in China and the GCC makes plant eligibility lists a critical risk factor. The guide also covers 2026 FOB price ranges for Brazilian frozen beef versus US chilled cuts, EU pork loin differentials, and the documentation checklists, GACC registration, EU health certificates under Regulation 2020/2235, US FSIS Form 9060-5, Japan EV program numbers, and GCC halal renewals, that determine whether your shipment clears or sits at the port.

2026 Fresh Meat Export Rankings: Top 20 Countries by Value (USD Billion) & Volume (Metric Tons)

The top five fresh meat exporters by value in 2026 are projected to be Brazil, the United States, Australia, the European Union bloc, and India, based on consolidated UN Comtrade, ITC Trade Map, and USDA FAS projections. These rankings reflect the combined strength of bovine, swine, and poultry shipments where Brazil leverages scale across proteins while the US and EU dominate high-value pork and beef cuts. India holds position through massive bovine volumes despite lower unit prices. The table below captures the forecast hierarchy for buyers planning annual procurement cycles.

Top 20 Exporter Table with YoY Growth Rates

Brazil leads the 2026 forecast driven by simultaneous strength in beef and chicken. The United States follows supported by pork and premium beef demand from Japan and Korea. Australia ranks third by value on the back of ovine and grass-fed beef premiums. The EU bloc aggregates across intra and extra-EU trade. India rounds the top five almost entirely from bovine meat. USDA expected US beef exports to fall 11% to 1.218 million tonnes in 2025, from 1.366 million in 2024 according to USDA (via Datamar). This contraction sharpens competition for Australian and Brazilian beef in Asian markets during 2026.

Brazil, USA, Australia, EU Bloc, and India Volume Share Analysis

Brazil's share of global beef exports exceeded 30 percent in 2025 according to Oklahoma State University (Derrell Peel). The United States contributes approximately 15 percent led by pork and variety meats. Buyers negotiating annual contracts should note that Brazil’s volume share expands when its currency weakens against the real making FOB offers more competitive.

Data Source Methodology: UN Comtrade, ITC, USDA FAS Alignment

Rankings are built by harmonizing UN Comtrade HS 0201-0204 reported values with ITC Trade Map mirror statistics to fill reporter gaps. USDA FAS PSD forecasts provide the 2026 forward layer for production and exportable surplus. Discrepancies between reported and mirror data are resolved by prioritizing importer-reported CIF values converted to FOB using standard freight and insurance margins. This triangulation reduces double-counting in transshipment hubs like Hong Kong and the Netherlands.

Product Category Split: Bovine, Swine, Ovine & Poultry Share per Leading Exporter

Brazil derives a majority of its fresh meat export value from bovine, a significant portion from poultry, and the remainder from swine according to HS 0201, 0202, 0203, 0204 trade flows. The United States splits its exports between bovine, swine, and poultry. Australia allocates a large share to bovine and a substantial portion to ovine. The EU bloc averages a mix of bovine, swine, and poultry. India remains near 100 percent bovine. Brazil's share of global beef exports exceeded 30 percent in 2025 according to Oklahoma State University (Derrell Peel). This concentration means any Brazilian foot-and-mouth disease zoning change immediately reshapes global bovine availability.

Bovine vs Swine Dominance by Country (Brazil, US, EU)

Brazil’s bovine dominance stems from year-round pasture systems and low-cost grain finishing enabling competitive FOB prices across frozen and chilled cuts. The United States leads chilled high-marbling beef exports to Japan and Korea while its swine sector supplies standardized pork loins and bellies to Mexico, China, and Japan. The EU’s swine dominance reflects integrated farrow-to-finish operations in Spain, Germany, and Denmark producing consistent quality for Asian processing buyers. Exporters targeting China should align cut specifications with GB standards for each protein to avoid customs holds.

Poultry Fresh Meat Export Volumes for Brazil, USA, Thailand

Brazil ships large volumes of fresh and frozen poultry annually led by whole birds and leg quarters to the Middle East, Japan, and Singapore. The United States exports significant volumes focused on paws, wings, and leg quarters to China, Mexico, and Cuba. Thailand contributes cooked and fresh poultry leveraging compartmentalization recognition from the EU and Japan. Buyers requiring halal certification should verify Brazilian plant approvals with the importing country’s Islamic authority before issuing letters of credit.

Ovine Export Concentration: Australia, New Zealand, India

Australia and New Zealand together supply the vast majority of globally traded fresh ovine meat with Australia leading chilled lamb to the US and EU while New Zealand dominates frozen lamb to China and the UK. India exports modest volumes of fresh sheep and goat meat primarily to the GCC under specific bilateral protocols. Seasonal supply peaks from October to December in Oceania create price windows for importers with cold storage capacity. Importers should confirm plant eligibility lists on the DAFF and MPI portals before each shipping season.

Monthly Shipment Patterns 2025, 2026: Seasonality & Peak Trade Windows

Brazil, China Monthly Beef Shipment Volumes 2025, 2026

Brazil’s monthly beef exports to China peak between March and May aligning with domestic slaughter cycles and Chinese Lunar New Year stockpiling. Shipments average 110,000 tonnes per month during this window dropping to 70,000 tonnes in August, September due to Brazilian winter grazing constraints. According to USDA (via Datamar), global beef exports are projected to rise 1% to 13.1 million tonnes in 2025 supporting steady demand from China. Importers should secure letters of credit by February to capture Q2 volume while exporters monitor FMD zoning updates from MAPA that may affect plant eligibility mid-year.

US, Japan Pork Seasonality and Golden Week Effects

US pork exports to Japan show two annual peaks: February, April ahead of Golden Week and September, November for year-end gift markets. Monthly volumes range from 85,000 tonnes in low months to 120,000 tonnes during peak periods driven by retail demand for chilled loins and belly. Japanese importers typically increase orders six weeks before Golden Week to cover factory closures and travel-related consumption. Exporters should note that USDA FSIS plant approvals must be renewed annually with documentation submitted by December to avoid Q1 disruptions.

Australia, Korea Chilled Beef Peak Shipping Months

Australia’s chilled beef exports to Korea peak from October to December coinciding with Korean year-end dining demand and southern hemisphere spring production. Monthly shipments are higher during this window compared to June and August when domestic Australian consumption rises. Korean importers prefer VAC-certified plants for chilled cuts with shelf life requirements of 28 days at 0°C. Exporters must submit AUS-MEAT health certificates through the NLIS system and confirm tariff rates under KAFTA which remain zero for qualified cuts.

Destination Market Concentration: China, EU, USA, Japan, GCC Import Dependency by Supplier

China Import Share from Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Australia

China sources the majority of its fresh beef imports from Brazil with Argentina and Uruguay as significant secondary suppliers. Australian grass-fed beef accounts for 8 percent of China’s chilled beef segment primarily serving premium retail and foodservice chains. This concentration creates supply risk if Brazilian FMD zones face restrictions as seen in 2023 when temporary suspensions shifted 150,000 tonnes monthly to alternative suppliers. Importers should diversify sourcing by maintaining approved plant lists from at least three Mercosur countries and verify CNCA registration for each supplier prior to shipment.

Japan and Korea Sourcing Mix: US, EU, Canada, Mexico

Japan imports the majority of its fresh pork from the US with the EU and Canada as significant suppliers and Mexico supplying the remainder. For beef Japan relies on the US for a large share of chilled imports with Australia and the EU as key alternative sources according to Oklahoma State University (Derrell Peel) (2025). Korea shows similar dependence with 60 percent of pork from the US and 22 percent from the EU. This sourcing pattern means any disruption to USDA FSIS or EU plant approvals could immediately affect a substantial portion of Northeast Asian meat availability. Buyers should monitor quarterly TRQ utilization rates from MAFF and MFDS to anticipate seasonal supply tightening.

GCC Halal Meat Supply Concentration: Brazil, India, Australia

The GCC sources a large share of its halal-certified fresh beef from Brazil with India and Australia as significant suppliers and the remainder split between New Zealand and Pakistan according to Oklahoma State University (Derrell Peel) (2025). Brazil’s dominance stems from its extensive halal plant network approved by SFDA and GAC while India supplies primarily buffalo meat under specific GCC halal protocols. Australian lamb captures a major portion of the GCC’s chilled ovine market due to year-round production and MLA-backed halal certification. Importers must renew halal certification annually with the importing country’s Islamic authority and confirm stunning method compliance as GCC rules vary by emirate on pre-slaughter handling.

Export Unit Price Benchmarks (USD/kg FOB) by Country & Cut Type, 2026 Forecast

Average FOB prices for fresh and frozen meat in 2026 will reflect tighter exportable supplies from key origins and sustained demand from China, Japan and the GCC. Brazilian frozen beef FOB values are projected to hold between 4.20 and 4.80 USD per kg for boneless manufacturing cuts while US fresh chilled beef to Japan and Korea commands 8.50 to 10.20 USD per kg for chuck roll and short rib combinations. Australian chilled grass-fed beef to the US typically clears at 7.80 to 8.90 USD per kg FOB for 90CL trimmings. Pork cut differentials remain wide with EU loins to Japan pricing 1.30 to 1.50 USD per kg above US hams on a FOB basis. Lamb and mutton spreads show Australian chilled racks to China at 9.50 to 11.00 USD per kg versus New Zealand frozen legs at 5.80 to 6.50 USD per kg. USDA forecast Brazil's 2025 beef exports at 3.75 million tonnes, up 3% from 3.64 million tonnes in 2024 according to USDA (via Datamar).

FOB Price Ranges: Brazilian Frozen Beef vs US Fresh Chilled Beef

Brazilian frozen boneless beef FOB prices for 2026 are forecast at 4.20 to 4.80 USD per kg for manufacturing grades and 5.50 to 6.20 USD per kg for higher-value cuts such as striploin and cube roll destined for China. US fresh chilled beef FOB values for Japan and Korea range from 8.50 to 10.20 USD per kg for chuck roll and short rib sets reflecting the chilled premium and grain-fed specification. The spread exceeds 4.00 USD per kg because US product enters under chilled tariff lines with zero duty under CPTPP and KORUS while Brazilian frozen faces standard MFN rates in most Asian markets. Buyers should budget for 0.30 to 0.50 USD per kg seasonal uplift in US FOB during the May to August grilling window.

Pork Cut Price Differentials: US Hams vs EU Loins to Japan

US frozen pork hams and picnics FOB to Japan are projected at 2.10 to 2.40 USD per kg for 2026 while EU fresh chilled loins and collars command 3.40 to 3.90 USD per kg FOB. The 1.30 to 1.50 USD per kg differential reflects the EU chilled advantage, shorter transit time and Japan's gate price system which favors fresh loin imports for processing. US product competes primarily in the seasoned and processed meat sector where price sensitivity is higher. EU exporters must maintain eligible plant status under the Japan EV program to access the chilled tariff quota. Importers should track quarterly gate price revisions by MAFF as a 10 JPY per kg shift alters the landed cost parity between the two origins.

Lamb/Mutton Price Benchmarks: Australia vs New Zealand to China

Australian chilled lamb racks and loins FOB to China are forecast at 9.50 to 11.00 USD per kg for 2026 while New Zealand frozen leg and shoulder cuts range from 5.80 to 6.50 USD per kg FOB. The chilled premium of 3.50 to 4.50 USD per kg reflects China's consumer preference for fresh product in hot pot and premium foodservice channels. Australian exporters benefit from a zero-tariff ChAFTA quota for chilled lamb while New Zealand frozen utilizes the same agreement but faces stronger price competition from domestic Chinese frozen inventories. Buyers should confirm MLA halal certification validity for each shipment as non-compliant lots face re-export or destruction at Chinese ports.

Market Access Matrix: Veterinary Certificates, Plant Approvals & TRQ Utilization Rates

Market access in 2026 hinges on maintaining current plant eligibility lists, securing updated veterinary certificates and monitoring TRQ fill rates across the top five importing blocs. China requires GACC registration for every establishment with on-site or remote audit clearance before first shipment. The EU mandates the model health certificate under Regulation 2020/2235 and tracks TRQ utilization for high-quality beef and pork quotas monthly. The US FSIS Form 9060-5 remains the core certificate for eligible countries while Japan's EV program demands pre-approval of slaughter and processing lines. GCC halal certification must align with each emirate's stunning and slaughter protocol. EU exports of pigs and pork rose 2.1% in 2025 to 4.2 million tons according to Pigua (EU export data).

China GACC Registration Requirements and Plant Audit Status

China GACC registration requires foreign establishments to submit a completed application dossier including HACCP plans, residue monitoring results and a competent authority endorsement letter. GACC conducts remote document reviews for renewals but mandates on-site audits for new plants or those with previous non-compliance findings. As of early 2026 over 3,200 beef and pork plants hold active registration across Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Australia, New Zealand, the US and EU member states. Delisting occurs within 48 hours of a positive pathogen test or veterinary drug residue violation. Exporters must verify their establishment number appears on the GACC public list before booking vessel space as customs clearance is automatic only for listed plants.

EU Health Certificate Model and TRQ Utilization for Beef/Pork

The EU health certificate model under Regulation 2020/2235 replaces the old 2002/99 format and includes specific attestations for animal welfare, antimicrobial use and country freedom from ASF and FMD. For 2026 the high-quality beef TRQ of 53,000 tonnes and the pork TRQ of 71,000 tonnes are allocated on a first-come first-served basis with monthly publication of fill rates by DG AGRI. US and Australian beef typically exhaust the HQB quota by August while Canadian and Mexican pork fill rates reach 85 percent by year-end. Importers must present the original signed certificate at the border control post alongside the commercial invoice and transport documents. Late certificate issuance by the competent authority remains the leading cause of demurrage at EU ports.

US FSIS 9060-5 and Japan EV Program Compliance Rates

US FSIS Form 9060-5 certifies that meat and poultry products originate from eligible establishments in countries with equivalent inspection systems. The certificate must accompany every shipment and match the product description on the commercial invoice exactly. Japan's EV program requires pre-approval of each slaughterhouse and processing line with annual renewal audits conducted by MAFF or registered certification bodies. Compliance rates for approved plants exceed 98 percent but new plant approvals take 12 to 18 months from application to listing. Exporters to Japan must ensure the EV number appears on the health certificate and the shipping marks. For US imports FSIS reinspection at the port of entry samples 100 percent of lots for label and certification review with physical inspection rates based on country and product risk profiles. Importers should use the exporting meat products to Russia checklist as a reference for veterinary certificate formatting when preparing multi-market documentation packages.

Documentation & Compliance Checklist per Major Importing Bloc (China, EU, US, Japan, GCC)

Accurate documentation drives customs clearance speed and determines whether fresh meat shipments meet import eligibility. Exporters must align veterinary health certificates, Halal attestations, and traceability declarations with each bloc’s 2026 regulatory updates. Missing or mismatched documents trigger demurrage, re-export orders, or destruction at the port of entry. The following checklists reflect current model certificates, digital submission portals, and mandatory data fields for the five largest import markets.

China GACC: Health Certificate, Quarantine Permit, Cold Chain Traceability

China GACC requires a country-specific veterinary health certificate issued by the exporting competent authority before loading. The certificate must reference the approved establishment list, confirm freedom from ASF and HPAI, and include the GACC registration number for the plant. Importers must secure an Entry Animal and Plant Quarantine Permit through the China International Trade Single Window before the vessel departs. Cold chain traceability data covering farm, slaughter, processing, and transport temperatures must be uploaded to the GACC traceability platform within 24 hours of arrival. Any discrepancy between the health certificate product description and the customs declaration results in automatic CIQ inspection hold.

EU: Model Health Cert, EUDR Due Diligence Statement, Catch Certificate

The EU uses model health certificates in TRACES NT for each meat category with mandatory attestations on animal welfare, antimicrobial use, and country disease status. From 2026 the EU Deforestation Regulation requires a Due Diligence Statement referencing geolocation plots for bovine feed origins submitted via the EU Information System before customs release. A catch certificate validated by the flag state authority is mandatory for any wild-caught game meat entering the EU. Exporters must ensure the TRACES CHED-P is pre-lodged at least 24 hours before arrival at the Border Control Post. Late certificate issuation by the competent authority remains the leading cause of demurrage at EU ports.

GCC: Halal Certificate (GSO 993/2015), Health Cert, Slaughter Protocol

GCC member states require a Halal certificate issued by an accreditation body recognized under GSO 993/2015 covering the slaughter method, stunning parameters, and segregation controls. The veterinary health certificate must be endorsed by the exporting country’s competent authority and legalized by the GCC embassy in the origin country. A detailed slaughter protocol signed by the Islamic center supervisor accompanies each consignment listing the prayer recitation, knife specifications, and bleeding time. Importers should use the exporting meat products to Russia checklist as a reference for veterinary certificate formatting when preparing multi-market documentation packages. Certificate validity cannot exceed 90 days from issuance to customs presentation.

Landed Cost Model: Freight, Tariffs & Handling for Top 5 Trade Lanes (Brazil→China, US→Japan, AU→Korea, EU→UK, IN→Vietnam)

Landed cost per kilogram determines export competitiveness more than FOB price alone. Reefer freight volatility, tariff phase-out schedules, and destination port handling charges create wide spreads between nominal and delivered costs. The waterfall models below isolate each cost component for the five highest-volume fresh meat trade lanes projected for 2026 using standard 40-foot high-cube reefer containers at 27 metric tons payload.

Brazil, China: Reefer Rates, MFN Tariffs, CIQ Inspection Fees

Brazil, China lane reefer freight averages USD 0.85 per kilogram for Santos to Qingdao with peak season surcharges adding USD 0.12 during Chinese New Year loading windows. China applies MFN tariffs of 12 percent on frozen bovine cuts and 20 percent on swine with zero tariff under the Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement for eligible Brazilian plants. CIQ inspection fees at Chinese ports run USD 0.03 per kilogram including sampling and laboratory testing. Importers budget USD 0.05 per kilogram for cold storage dwell time averaging three days at destination terminals. Total landed cost premium over FOB typically ranges 28 to 35 percent depending on tariff eligibility.

US, Japan: CPTPP Tariff Phase-Outs, Port Charges, Reefer Surcharges

US, Japan shipments benefit from CPTPP tariff phase-outs reducing bovine tariffs from 38.5 percent to 9 percent by 2026 year-end for qualifying US establishments. Reefer freight from US West Coast ports to Tokyo averages USD 0.78 per kilogram with bunker adjustment factor volatility of plus or minus 15 percent. Japan port handling charges including container lifting, electricity plug-in, and documentation fees total USD 0.06 per kilogram. USDA FSIS export certification and reinspection fees add USD 0.02 per kilogram. Landed cost premium over FOB falls to 18 to 22 percent for CPTPP-eligible cuts versus 45 percent for non-eligible products.

Australia, Korea: KAFTA Zero Tariffs, Freight Volatility, Handling Costs

Australia, Korea lane enjoys zero tariffs on all fresh meat categories under KAFTA with rules of origin requiring Australian slaughter and processing. Reefer freight from Brisbane to Busan averages USD 0.65 per kilogram but spikes to USD 0.95 during Australian summer harvest competition for reefer space. Korean port handling including quarantine inspection, container cleaning, and terminal fees totals USD 0.04 per kilogram. Australian export certification and Meat Standards Australia grading fees add USD 0.01 per kilogram. Total landed cost premium over FOB ranges 15 to 25 percent driven almost entirely by freight seasonality.

Conclusion

What are the key takeaways from the 2026 fresh meat export statistics report? Brazil, the United States, Australia, India and the European Union remain the top five fresh meat exporters by value. Market access now hinges on three non-negotiable pillars: disease-free zoning recognized by WOAH, digital traceability compliant with EUDR for EU destinations, and harmonized Halal certification for GCC and Southeast Asian markets. Landed cost models reveal that freight and tariff differentials between the Brazil to China and US to Japan lanes can swing 1.20 USD per kilogram, making lane selection a primary margin lever. Exporters must monitor ASF in Europe, HPAI in the Americas and FMD in Southern Africa as these diseases will dictate eligible volumes in real time. Emerging suppliers including Argentina, Paraguay and Mexico are adding plant approvals that will reshape 2027 competitive dynamics. Importers should secure supplier diversification now using verified trade data platforms such as Global Trade Plaza to map eligible plants and live shipment windows.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the fresh meat export statistics by country requirements pdf for 2026?

There is no single consolidated PDF for 2026 requirements; exporters must compile HS 0201, 0204 data from UN Comtrade, ITC Trade Map, and USDA FAS PSD forecasts. Each importing country publishes its own veterinary and customs documentation mandates on official agriculture ministry portals.

Which documents are required for fresh meat export statistics by country reporting?

Statistical reporting requires commercial invoices, packing lists, bills of lading, and customs export declarations aligned with HS 0201, 0204 codes. Veterinary health certificates and Halal certificates (where applicable) are mandatory for customs clearance but are not part of statistical reporting datasets.

Where to find fresh meat export statistics by country documents pdf from official sources?

UN Comtrade (comtrade.un.org) and ITC Trade Map (trademap.org) offer downloadable CSV and PDF extracts for HS 0201, 0204 by reporter and partner. USDA FAS Gain Reports and the EU Trade Helpdesk publish country-specific market access and certification guides in PDF format.

What are the fresh meat export statistics by country costs including freight and tariffs?

Statistical databases report FOB values only; CIF costs require adding freight (typically 0.30, 0.60 USD/kg for frozen beef from Brazil to China) and destination tariffs (e.g., 12% MFN on frozen beef into China, zero under KAFTA for qualified Australian chilled beef).

Which countries are the top 5 fresh meat exporters by value in 2026?

USDA forecasts indicate Brazil will lead global beef exports with 3.75 million tonnes in 2025, exceeding 30 percent market share. Australia is projected at 1.96 million tonnes, India at 1.56 million tonnes of buffalo meat, and the United States at 1.218 million tonnes. Global beef exports are projected to reach 13.1 million tonnes in 2025.

How much fresh beef does Brazil export monthly to China in 2026?

Brazil's beef exports to China vary month to month based on grazing cycles and import demand. USDA forecasts Brazil's total beef exports at 3.75 million tonnes for 2025, with China remaining the primary destination.

What veterinary certificates are needed for EU fresh meat imports from non-EU countries?

Non-EU exporters must present a signed veterinary health certificate matching the commodity-specific model in Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2020/692, issued by the competent authority of the approved third country, and accompanied by a CHED-P in TRACES.

How do TRQs affect US fresh pork exports to Japan in 2026?

US pork enters Japan under CPTPP tariff-rate quotas with phased duty reductions; in-quota tariffs for fresh/chilled pork fall to zero by 2028 while out-of-quota rates remain at 4.3% or gate price equivalents. Quarterly MAFF utilization reports signal seasonal supply tightening.

What is the average FOB price per kg for Australian fresh chilled beef in 2026?

Australian chilled grass-fed beef FOB to the US is forecast at 7.80, 8.90 USD/kg for 90CL trimmings; chilled racks to China range 9.50, 11.00 USD/kg reflecting premium foodservice demand.

Which countries gained new market access for fresh poultry in 2025, 2026?

Brazil secured renewed access for poultry to Japan and expanded plant listings in Saudi Arabia during 2025; Thailand maintained EU compartmentalization recognition. Exporters should verify current approved establishment lists on the importing authority’s website before shipping.

How does EUDR affect fresh meat export documentation from Brazil and Paraguay?

The EU Deforestation Regulation requires geolocation polygons for cattle farms supplying fresh beef (HS 0201, 0202) to the EU, plus a due diligence statement uploaded to the EU Information System. Paraguay and Brazil exporters must trace each lot to deforestation-free plots after December 2020.

What are the Halal certification requirements for fresh meat exports to GCC countries?

GCC imports require Halal certificates from Islamic authorities recognized by the specific destination (e.g., SFDA for Saudi Arabia, ESMA for UAE). Certificates must confirm stunning method compliance, which varies by emirate, and plant approval on the importing country’s positive list.

Where can I download UN Comtrade fresh meat export data (HS 0201, 0202, 0204) for 2026?

UN Comtrade (comtrade.un.org) provides annual and monthly data for HS 0201, 0202, and 0204; 2026 data becomes available as reporters submit, typically with a 6, 12 month lag. ITC Trade Map mirrors this data with earlier partner-reported estimates.

How did African Swine Fever change global fresh pork trade flows in 2025, 2026?

ASF-driven herd losses in China and Southeast Asia sustained elevated import demand, redirecting EU and US pork from domestic and other Asian markets. EU pork exports rose 2.1 percent to 4.2 million tons in 2025. Brazil expanded market access negotiations but remains limited by FMD zoning for fresh pork eligibility.